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Old 12-26-2004, 10:45 PM   #16 (permalink)
 
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Re: Asteroid

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Originally Posted by CingularDuality
Indeed.

I was going to joke about the tidal waves that we triggered not being quite strong enough, but it's really not a joking matter.
No, especially since we haven't fully explored all the jokes made possible from that AIDS epidemic we released to keep The Man in charge and the good brother down.
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Old 12-27-2004, 12:50 PM   #17 (permalink)
 
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Re: Asteroid

This morning the odds have increased to 1 in 37. I wonder when Tradesports will start taking bets.
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Old 12-27-2004, 01:03 PM   #18 (permalink)
 
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Thumbs up bush Asteroid

Why are we scared, Bush will probably destroy the planet before that!
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Old 12-27-2004, 07:22 PM   #19 (permalink)


 
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Re: Asteroid

Quote:
Originally Posted by Switchcraft
This morning the odds have increased to 1 in 37. I wonder when Tradesports will start taking bets.
Hell, I'll give you a thousand to one odds that it won't hit north-central Texas!

I haven't actually read about this in depth. Are we able to calculate where on the planet it's most likely to impact if it does?
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Old 12-27-2004, 07:41 PM   #20 (permalink)
 
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Re: Asteroid

Well, no. All of these odds are based on how close it gets to Earth...we'd have to be much closer before we got it down to the exact hour, etc.

HOWEVER, things changed drastically today.

This morning, the odds were 1 in 37, based on however many observations over the last 190 days or so. But this afternoon, the odds have been decreased to 1 in 56,000. I would have thought that that meant they'd just figured it wouldn't hit, but they also changed the observation time to 287 days.

If I read this right, it means NASA thinks this is an object they'd looked at before and had data on it already, and just now figured that out.

The whole projected orbit has changed. Before, they had 34 project potential impacts. Now? 8. I'm betting someone just got their ass handed to them. We'll see.
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Old 12-27-2004, 08:03 PM   #21 (permalink)


 
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Re: Asteroid

From Slashdot:
Quote:
It seems that earth was near the edge of the cone of probability of when it could go. As the cone kept closing, the probability of hitting earth grew, but it kept getting closer to the edge. It's now outside the cone, and we can be safe.







Or is it now being covered up by the government so that Buschemi and Willis can start their training?

Or was it all just a political "wag the dog" story to begin with? Something to guage how well the public can handle this type of news?

Last edited by CingularDuality; 12-27-2004 at 08:37 PM. Reason: added NASA image explaining the change in probability...
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Old 12-28-2004, 07:52 PM   #22 (permalink)
 
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Re: Asteroid

Quote:
Originally Posted by CingularDuality
From Slashdot:



Or was it all just a political "wag the dog" story to begin with? Something to guage how well the public can handle this type of news?
It is probably that. They want to prepare us for the next big news....

Condeleeza Rice is a guy.
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Old 12-29-2004, 12:12 PM   #23 (permalink)
 
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Re: Asteroid

Rest easy tonight.
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Old 12-29-2004, 05:16 PM   #24 (permalink)
 
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Re: Asteroid

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So does that mean that Rice is indeed a girl?
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Old 12-29-2004, 06:17 PM   #25 (permalink)
 
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Re: Asteroid

HA!

Hahahahahahahaha

Woooo!

Haha

Heh.
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Old 12-29-2004, 06:39 PM   #26 (permalink)
 
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Arrow Re: Asteroid

So im glad i will live more than 47 years.
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Old 01-02-2005, 04:04 PM   #27 (permalink)


 
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Re: Asteroid

On a semi-related note, NASA is preparing to launch "Deep Impact" on January 12 and this spaceship will impact with the Comet Tempel 1 on July 4, 2005.

http://deepimpact.jpl.nasa.gov/
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Old 01-02-2005, 07:38 PM   #28 (permalink)
 
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Re: Asteroid

So what is the mission of Deep impact exept of course coliding with the comet?
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Old 01-03-2005, 01:36 AM   #29 (permalink)
 
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Re: Asteroid

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Originally Posted by Matt_Murphee
So what is the mission of Deep impact exept of course coliding with the comet?
http://deepimpact.jpl.nasa.gov/faq.html#q1
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